Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +18 (64-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.