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Montana Grizzlies 71
@
Northern Colorado Bears 60
2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 ✗ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -11 (60-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hasquet 38 5-9 4-6 2-3 7 1 0 0 2 16 13 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 30 2-5 1-1 8-9 0 3 1 0 3 13 9 -
B. Qvale 28 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 6 0 6 11 -
A. Strait 26 5-8 0-0 2-4 12 1 2 0 2 12 17 -
R. Staudacher 24 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
M. Martin 22 2-5 1-4 4-6 5 4 1 0 4 9 10 -
C. Rundles 21 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
K. Sharp 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks 29 7-16 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 2 16 6 -
R. Palacios 28 2-5 0-0 3-6 6 1 2 0 0 7 11 -
D. Beitzel 26 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -4 -
J. Mason 25 3-7 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 1 2 9 9 -
W. Figures 24 4-9 1-5 4-4 4 3 2 0 1 13 12 -
T. Montgomery 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Kingman 16 2-5 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
S. Taibi 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter