Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -18 (36-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.