Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +21 (68-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Murdaugh | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Breske | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Prochaska | 0 | 2-14 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -1 | - |
| L. Goldsberry | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Achter | 0 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jarrett | 0 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| P. Green | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Mcdonald | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Demuth | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Rusche | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter