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2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -9.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 79.4% 20.6% - โœ“
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.9% 7.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.9% 26.1% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -5 (71-76). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Hayles 38 7-16 1-7 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 18 5 -
Brandon Brooks 36 4-10 0-0 8-8 6 0 0 0 1 16 11 -
Jamarr Sanders 28 2-7 0-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 1 -
Rashad Provitt 26 3-6 2-4 6-8 4 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
Joel Bosh 21 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Roland Fitch 18 4-6 0-0 1-3 8 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
Chief Kickingstallionsims 17 5-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Brandon Gordon 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Deshean Porchea 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Jones 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Richard Lott Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Ford 37 4-11 1-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
Troy Jackson 37 5-17 4-10 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 15 5 -
Jarvis Williams 36 3-8 1-3 4-4 4 0 2 0 1 11 8 -
Alex Owumi 32 5-9 2-4 4-6 3 0 1 0 1 16 10 -
Ramando Lyons 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Kendrick 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 5 -
Gifford Blakely 9 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Derrick Blackwell 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Adrian Oliver 7 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Jamal Thompson 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter