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2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% - โœ“
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders -2 (55-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hunter 36 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 5 2 1 3 4 9 -
R. Epps 33 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 6 8 -
A. Vereen 28 6-9 0-1 8-10 9 1 0 0 1 20 20 -
J. Griffin 25 5-9 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 12 11 -
R. Guignard 24 2-10 2-8 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 6 1 -
L. Posey 24 0-4 0-1 2-7 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
T. Moffitt 22 2-8 0-3 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Parker 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Perkins 34 4-12 3-7 3-4 3 5 0 0 4 14 6 -
H. Bond 31 3-6 1-1 2-4 6 1 0 1 0 9 11 -
C. Daniels 28 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 9 7 -
W. Bullard 27 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 6 0 -
J. Reynolds 21 1-6 0-2 0-1 6 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Watt 20 4-7 1-1 2-5 5 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
F. Toncinic 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Green 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
I. Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Slatnick 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Shorter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
A. Topps 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter