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2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +20 (97-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Barrett 39 6-12 1-4 7-8 3 1 0 0 5 20 7 -
D. Reed 38 2-8 2-5 2-2 2 6 0 1 2 8 7 -
Q. Robertson 33 3-4 2-3 2-2 8 1 1 0 4 10 12 -
Q. Prowell 31 9-12 0-2 4-6 6 2 0 0 1 22 17 -
F. Tolbert 30 3-10 0-4 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 4 -
L. Hargrove 21 2-5 1-4 3-6 5 2 0 0 1 8 9 -
M. Heramb 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hollinger 35 6-10 6-9 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 18 14 -
A. Gee 34 7-14 0-3 3-4 7 1 1 2 1 17 13 -
M. Riley 31 5-12 4-8 2-2 7 2 1 1 0 16 15 -
R. Pickett 29 7-10 2-2 1-4 2 5 1 2 0 17 17 -
S. Hillman 25 3-6 0-3 2-4 0 4 1 0 0 8 7 -
R. Hendrix 23 8-11 0-0 4-9 8 2 0 1 2 20 18 -
D. Jemison 21 0-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
M. Torrance 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter