Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gary | 31 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J.R. Giddens | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Toppert | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Prentice | 23 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Faris | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Martinez | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Wills | 15 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Harris | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Pegues | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 23 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Burgess | 22 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Murdock | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Fredette | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Collinsworth | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Miles | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Rose | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Martineau | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter