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2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 74.9% 25.1% -6.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 40 9-16 1-3 6-7 2 7 2 0 2 25 18 -
M. Bouldin 31 2-9 1-5 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
M. Downs 29 4-4 2-2 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 11 12 -
D. Pendergraft 28 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
J. Heytvelt 25 5-11 2-4 1-2 7 0 2 0 1 13 10 -
S. Gray 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 -
A. Kuso 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 1 4 9 -
A. Daye 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
I. Brown 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
L. Gurganious 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Douglas-Roberts 35 7-11 1-4 6-11 6 2 2 0 1 21 19 -
J. Dorsey 33 4-5 0-0 1-3 13 0 2 4 0 9 23 -
D. Rose 31 6-12 1-3 6-10 8 9 2 1 4 19 23 -
A. Anderson 31 5-9 2-6 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
R. Dozier 25 0-5 0-1 4-4 2 1 0 1 2 4 1 -
S. Taggart 18 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
D. Mack 16 3-11 2-8 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
A. Allen 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
W. Kemp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter