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2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Brown Bears +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 35 9-18 4-9 2-2 2 3 3 0 2 24 12 -
R. Morin 32 5-5 0-0 8-11 9 2 0 0 0 18 24 -
C. Holmes 31 3-10 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 8 1 -
M. Kyle 29 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 4 2 8 8 -
P. Braswell 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Holmes 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
T. Pinick 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 4 1 -
A. Zampier 9 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Gibson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Huffman 37 7-11 4-6 5-5 5 0 1 0 1 23 17 -
C. Skrelja 36 5-13 1-3 5-7 15 3 2 0 3 16 20 -
P. Sullivan 36 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
A. Williams 28 2-6 0-3 7-7 1 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
M. Mullery 28 2-4 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 2 2 8 15 -
M. McAndrew 19 3-4 2-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 9 1 -
S. Friske 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. Kelly 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Gruber 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. MacDonald 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter