Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -16 (52-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beverley | 39 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Weems | 36 | 7-13 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| G. Ervin | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| S. Hill | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| D. Townes | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Welsh | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Washington | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Rakestraw | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Britt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Patsatsia | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Randolph | 40 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Thornton | 33 | 7-20 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | - |
| G. Temple | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Farrer | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Spencer | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| T. Martin | 19 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| G. Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter