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NC State Wolfpack 69
@
Florida State Seminoles 66
2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% - ✗
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 ✗ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% - ✗
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - ✗

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Grant 35 4-10 3-5 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 14 9 -
J. Hickson 34 5-5 0-0 2-2 10 1 2 4 3 12 21 -
B. McCauley 34 2-4 0-0 3-6 4 2 0 0 3 7 6 -
C. Fells 25 5-9 4-7 2-2 1 1 0 1 3 16 7 -
J. Gonzalez 24 0-4 0-4 7-8 3 4 2 0 1 7 11 -
D. Horner 19 3-8 1-2 1-3 1 0 0 2 1 8 2 -
M. Johnson 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
B. Costner 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
U. Echefu 36 5-10 2-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 3 14 10 -
T. Douglas 32 6-13 1-1 4-4 2 5 4 0 4 17 11 -
I. Swann 32 3-10 2-7 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
R. Reid 30 0-2 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 2 3 7 -
J. Rich 27 3-10 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 6 -6 -
R. Mims 26 3-9 2-4 6-8 6 0 1 0 0 14 12 -
J. Vaughn 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Zitani 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. DeMercy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter