Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Echefu | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Douglas | 32 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| I. Swann | 32 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Reid | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Rich | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -6 | - |
| R. Mims | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Vaughn | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Zitani | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harvin | 0 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Williams | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Collins | 0 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Davis-Cain | 0 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
* = starter