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UNLV Rebels 72
@
San Diego State Aztecs 69
2008-01-26

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% - ✗
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 ✗ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - ✓
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 38 5-13 1-4 2-2 2 6 0 0 3 13 5 -
R. Rougeau 32 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 4 2 4 2 8 16 -
J. Darger 30 6-11 3-5 4-4 10 0 0 0 1 19 17 -
C. Terry 29 3-8 3-7 1-3 3 3 0 0 4 10 4 -
C. Bailey 28 6-6 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 15 10 -
M. Shaw 18 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
K. Wallace 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Lawrence 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Rutledge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 36 4-11 0-1 0-0 4 7 1 1 1 8 9 -
B. White 33 5-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
R. Amoroso 31 6-8 1-1 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 15 13 -
R. Williams 23 4-9 1-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
K. Spain 23 3-9 1-5 6-7 3 1 2 0 2 13 8 -
K. Davis 18 3-6 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
M. Thomas 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
D.J. Gay 17 1-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 3 -2 -
J. Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter