Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +26 (69-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Roberts | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Warren | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Searcy | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Thomas | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Fox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Burrell | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Lavender | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 20 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Duncan | 18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Love | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Jackson | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Graves | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Hughes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bronson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Duckett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter