Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. VanderMeer | 34 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J. Mayo | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Bush | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Boyd | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Stewart | 18 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. White Jr. | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Buttell | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Dailey | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Kreps | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Haanpaa | 35 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| S. Huff | 33 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Diebler | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Loyd | 26 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. McPherson | 24 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Bouchie | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| U. Igbavboa | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| H. Little | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Rogers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. MacLeod | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter