Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Fonzie | 38 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Bell | 38 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Alexander | 31 | 6-10 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| N. Shaw | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Weaver | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Akpan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bright | 38 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| S. McDaniel | 37 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Ramirez | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Gardiner | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| R. Rawlins | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Falkner | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Kvedys | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter