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2008-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 37 6-8 4-6 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 18 17 -
D. Mbunga 29 3-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
P. Friesen 29 1-4 1-3 3-4 5 8 0 0 3 6 12 -
C. Taylor 21 3-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 6 -1 -
A. Zamora 19 2-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
M. Davis 18 2-5 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 7 6 -
B. Johnson 17 5-6 3-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 15 12 -
J. Hennessy 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Howard 14 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks 31 4-9 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
R. Palacios 29 5-8 0-1 1-5 12 2 3 0 2 11 18 -
T. Montgomery 24 4-10 2-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 10 5 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 23 4-9 1-5 5-7 3 5 2 0 0 14 15 -
D. Beitzel 20 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Mason 18 2-6 1-2 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 8 8 -
W. Figures 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
N. Kingman 15 1-3 1-2 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
S. Taibi 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Anderson 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -

* = starter