Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 37 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Friesen | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Taylor | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Zamora | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Johnson | 17 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Howard | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Banks | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Palacios | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 24 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 23 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Mason | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Figures | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| N. Kingman | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Taibi | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Anderson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter