Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -17 (64-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nelson | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Singler | 30 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| G. Henderson | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| G. Paulus | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Thomas | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Smith | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. King | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. McClure | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.D. Vassallo | 38 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Washington | 34 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| H. Thorns | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Thompson | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Bell | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Delaney | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | - |
| D. Hudson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Diakite | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Witcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter