Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -24 (44-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo | 32 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Gibson | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 28 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Hackett | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Lewis | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Simmons | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Cromwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Wetherell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Green | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tarver | 31 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Jones | 24 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Haynes | 24 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| O. Johnson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Hampton | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Tarver | 19 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| R. Claitt | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Carter | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Wallace | 15 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Schaftenaar | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter