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2008-01-24

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 84.2% 15.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 91.5% 8.5% -
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -24 (44-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo 32 5-12 3-9 6-8 4 5 1 1 5 19 13 -
T. Gibson 28 6-8 0-0 2-7 14 1 1 3 1 14 24 -
D. Jefferson 28 9-12 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 1 0 18 17 -
D. Hackett 27 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 7 3 -
D. Lewis 27 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
A. Johnson 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Wilkinson 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
M. Simmons 10 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
R. Cromwell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Wetherell 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Green 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tarver 31 1-9 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
M. Jones 24 1-11 0-0 3-4 5 3 0 0 0 5 2 -
C. Haynes 24 3-11 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 7 1 -
O. Johnson 21 0-3 0-1 1-4 7 0 0 0 0 1 5 -
C. Hampton 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 4 -
J. Tarver 19 1-7 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 3 -3 -
R. Claitt 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Carter 17 1-2 0-0 0-6 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
L. Wallace 15 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 3 -
R. Schaftenaar 11 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -

* = starter