Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 35 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 34 | 7-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. Walton | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Naymick | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| C. Allen | 25 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Lucas | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 39 | 10-18 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| K. Coble | 36 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Thompson | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| N. Baran | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Ryan | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Nash | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| M. Capocci | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter