Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harris | 38 | 12-21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| G. Forbes | 34 | 9-24 | 2-7 | 4-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 7 | - |
| C. Lowe | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Milligan | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| E. Brower | 28 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Gaffney | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Correia | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Glass | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Bonner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Lo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Groebe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Calathes | 39 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A. Nivins | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| D. Govens | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Ferguson | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| G. Williamson | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Rivera | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| I. Hilliard | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Bentley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter