Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -16 (82-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 28 | - |
| T. Lawson | 33 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| W. Ellington | 32 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClinton | 34 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Hurdle | 32 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| R. Hicks | 29 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Dews | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Asbury | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Collins | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Graham | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. King | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Rios | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter