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2008-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons McNeese Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“

Actual: McNeese Cowboys +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gilder 30 5-10 0-1 10-10 5 1 2 3 2 20 19 -
C. Bargeman 29 4-11 1-5 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 9 7 -
K. Hancock 23 2-9 0-5 2-5 0 1 2 0 1 6 -1 -
M. McConathy 22 2-5 1-3 8-8 1 5 0 0 5 13 9 -
D. White 21 5-8 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 2 0 11 8 -
J. Moody 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Jones 17 3-7 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
D. Knight 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 2 3 0 5 -
C.J. Clark 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
G. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. McConathy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Petravicius 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

McNeese Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pichon 39 4-8 0-0 1-3 10 7 4 1 5 9 18 -
J. Ford 33 3-7 1-4 5-6 1 3 1 0 3 12 7 -
J. Bradley 31 4-7 0-0 10-13 10 1 3 1 4 18 22 -
R. Lawrence 29 4-6 1-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 13 12 -
D. Kapelan 27 7-11 4-7 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 21 13 -
K. Penn 18 3-5 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 1 1 8 7 -
A. Wardell 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
S. Martin 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
C.J. Collins 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
P.J. Alawoya 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter