Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +30 (72-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 34 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Ely | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Garner | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Granger | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Morrow | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| V. Gomez | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Lacey | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hopf | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Gregory | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wargel | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| G. Moore | 28 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. McCoy | 25 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Stinson | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| I. Martin | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 17 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Carter | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Arnold | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter