Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 37 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Johnson | 35 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 26 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Holloway | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| L. Dyer | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| S. Odzic | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Sampay | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Slack | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Maniscalco | 36 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Crouch | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Wilson | 31 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Warren | 30 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Salley | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Singh | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Austin | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter