Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.5 | ✗ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +23 (62-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moeaki | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Slade | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Nielson | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Varley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Carling | 0 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Duffy | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Morris | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Q. Davis | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| S. Demus | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
* = starter