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2008-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (2.2 off)
Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% -

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stovall 38 4-13 1-4 2-5 6 2 2 0 0 11 8 -
A. Newell 34 9-18 1-1 5-6 5 1 0 0 2 24 10 -
B. Lampley 32 2-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 7 6 -
M. Perry 31 2-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 5 1 -
M. Goins 28 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 5 0 1 0 4 -
R. Giles 18 1-2 1-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
L. Frazier 14 3-8 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -2 -
R. McLemore 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith 39 2-4 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 7 9 -
J. Nichols 37 4-9 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
S. Logan 36 5-13 2-5 7-10 9 2 0 0 2 19 15 -
D. Anderson 35 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 6 0 1 5 3 7 -
E. Grafel 24 4-8 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 2 2 11 14 -
M. Patton 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 3 -1 -
M. Hart 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Kelley 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
N. Ervin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter