Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Randle | 38 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. McCamey | 31 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Meacham | 30 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Frazier | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Alexander | 24 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Davis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Brock | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7 | - |
| B. Cole | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Jordan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| E. Turner | 34 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Lighty | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| O. Hunter | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Koufos | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Diebler | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Hill | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter