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2008-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% +8.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +6 (64-58). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Randle 38 6-18 0-1 1-1 10 2 1 0 1 13 7 -
D. McCamey 31 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 2 -2 -
Trent Meacham 30 4-9 4-7 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 12 8 -
C. Frazier 26 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 3 3 -
R. Alexander 24 6-14 3-7 5-7 11 1 1 0 0 20 19 -
M. Tisdale 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Davis 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 -
C. Brock 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -7 -
B. Cole 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
Jeff Jordan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamar Butler 35 3-8 1-5 0-0 7 4 4 1 3 7 12 -
Evan Turner 34 6-8 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
David Lighty 34 5-10 2-4 4-5 4 4 0 0 4 16 10 -
Othello Hunter 32 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
Kosta Koufos 26 4-9 1-4 3-6 4 0 0 1 1 12 7 -
M. Terwilliger 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Jon Diebler 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Dallas Lauderdale 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P.J. Hill 6 0-1 0-0 0-3 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter