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2008-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.3% 87.7% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bryant 41 8-11 5-7 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 25 17 -
S. Green 39 2-8 2-8 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 6 2 -
L. Nevill 36 4-6 0-0 5-10 9 0 1 1 4 13 14 -
T. Kepkay 35 5-14 2-5 0-1 6 4 1 0 2 12 7 -
L. Borha 30 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 6 8 -
L. Drca 29 2-4 1-2 0-1 4 4 1 0 3 5 7 -
C. Brown 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Grim 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Martinez 39 2-3 2-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 0 8 13 -
J.R. Giddens 38 7-15 0-0 0-0 8 6 1 1 3 14 12 -
C. Toppert 35 4-10 4-8 2-3 5 3 0 0 0 14 12 -
D. Faris 34 7-16 0-1 1-5 7 1 1 2 0 15 10 -
D. Gary 28 2-4 0-2 6-6 1 2 4 0 0 10 13 -
J. Smith 19 3-7 1-2 5-5 6 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
D. Prentice 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Pegues 8 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
J. Harris 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
J. Wills 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter