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2008-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Emmenecker 43 4-8 0-0 4-4 6 7 4 0 3 12 18 -
K. Korver 38 4-14 4-12 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 14 5 -
J. Cox 37 0-3 0-2 5-6 6 2 2 2 1 5 13 -
L. Houston 35 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 9 3 -
J. Young 25 2-7 2-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
J. Baryenbruch 20 1-5 1-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
B. Heemskerk 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
J. Hall 10 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
J. Parker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bahe 39 3-9 2-6 1-2 7 3 0 0 0 9 10 -
D. Watts 36 5-10 3-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 13 9 -
C. Witter 24 3-11 1-6 5-6 5 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Dotzler 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 5 6 -
C. Millard 21 1-6 1-6 1-2 2 0 0 2 2 4 0 -
B. Woodfox 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
P. Hibma 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
K. Korver 15 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
K. Lawson Jr. 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
P. Stinnett 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
C. Harriman 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Walker II 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter