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2008-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 2-9 0-2 1-2 6 5 0 0 0 5 7 -
J. Smith 32 3-9 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
C. Lofton 30 7-14 5-10 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 22 9 -
W. Chism 26 3-8 1-3 5-6 6 0 1 3 0 12 14 -
R. Smith 25 4-7 0-1 2-3 1 2 3 0 3 10 6 -
J.P. Prince 18 3-4 0-0 3-5 2 0 1 2 3 9 7 -
J. Howell 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Childress 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Williams 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 39 6-11 0-0 8-9 8 3 0 3 4 20 19 -
R. Bradley 39 3-9 0-4 10-10 6 5 0 0 4 16 14 -
P. Stevenson 37 6-7 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 5 2 14 19 -
J. Crawford 24 3-5 3-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
D. Jasper 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 1 0 3 11 -
R. Harris 18 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
J. Meeks 18 3-8 0-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 8 2 -
M. Coury 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter