Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +18 (66-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Morrissy | 0 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 17 | 15 | |||
| B. Davis | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | - | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |||
| L. Roper | 0 | -3 | -2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | ||
| A. Muse | 0 | 2-7 | - | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | ||||
| A. Lewis | 0 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 18 | 3 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Scott | 0 | 6-12 | - | 1-2 | 11 | 13 | 12 | ||||
| V. Smith | 0 | 4-9 | -1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 11 | |||
| E. Jefferson | 0 | 3-12 | -1 | - | 7 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| J. Taylor | 0 | 5-8 | -1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | |||
| Player #5574 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
* = starter