Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| G. Suton | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 33 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| K. Lucas | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Naymick | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Allen | 14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Gray | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Coleman | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. McKenzie | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Tollackson | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Williams | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Payton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Busch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter