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2008-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +16 (89-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNeal 33 3-10 0-3 3-4 0 2 2 0 2 9 1 -
D. James 29 4-10 0-1 1-3 2 3 0 0 1 9 3 -
W. Matthews 28 4-12 1-2 4-6 5 1 3 0 1 13 9 -
L. Hayward 22 5-9 2-4 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 14 8 -
O. Barro 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Acker 18 3-7 2-3 1-2 0 5 0 0 0 9 7 -
D. Fitzgerald 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
D. Cubillan 16 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
L. Blackledge 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Burke 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
P. Hazel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Christopherson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 35 5-9 0-1 5-6 6 1 0 1 1 15 13 -
A.J. Price 32 4-8 2-3 7-8 3 8 0 1 3 17 18 -
H. Thabeet 32 3-3 0-0 9-13 7 0 0 6 2 15 23 -
C. Austrie 25 4-6 0-1 7-7 4 1 3 0 2 15 15 -
J. Dyson 24 2-5 0-1 5-5 5 2 0 0 3 9 8 -
S. Robinson 24 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
D. Wiggins 20 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
C. Kelly 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 4 -

* = starter