Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jarrett | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Green | 0 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Mcdonald | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Demuth | 0 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Rusche | 0 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Johnson | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Heistan | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Stocks | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Clark | 0 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| O. Terry | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter