Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shelley | 36 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 30 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Tucker | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Holmes | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Thompson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Reed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Tucker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simpson | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| P. Mills | 33 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| O. Samhan | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Hughes | 23 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 22 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Golden | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Walker | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Y. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter