Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Randle | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Brock | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Frazier | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Meacham | 31 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. McCamey | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Holdren | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Grant | 35 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| N. Calasan | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Hummel | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Moore | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Kramer | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| S. Martin | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Crump | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Green | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter