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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% +0.2 โœ— (1.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 โœ— (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Pilots -1 (59-60). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 37 9-17 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 19 10 -
M. Strong 36 6-13 1-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 13 10 -
M. Quezada 30 4-8 1-4 8-11 1 3 1 0 2 17 12 -
D. Hadley 26 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 3 6 5 -
D. Cavic 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
H. Taylor 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 3 1 -
James Morgan 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Hernandez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Sikma 29 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 2 2 10 13 -
T. Ito 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
S. Watson 24 5-9 1-4 4-5 2 2 1 0 3 15 8 -
Robin Smeulders 23 2-4 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
E. Niedermeyer 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
W. Thompson 19 3-7 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
N. Raivio 18 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
K. Knutson 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Stohl 16 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
Marcus Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter