🐻⬇️🏀

San Francisco Dons 60
@
Portland Pilots 59
2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 7.9% 92.1% - ✗
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +48.9 ✗ (49.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - ✓

Actual: Portland Pilots -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 37 9-17 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 19 10 -
M. Strong 36 6-13 1-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 13 10 -
M. Quezada 30 4-8 1-4 8-11 1 3 1 0 2 17 12 -
D. Hadley 26 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 3 6 5 -
D. Cavic 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
H. Taylor 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 3 1 -
J. Morgan 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Hernandez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Sikma 29 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 2 2 10 13 -
T. Ito 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
S. Watson 24 5-9 1-4 4-5 2 2 1 0 3 15 8 -
R. Smeulders 23 2-4 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
E. Niedermeyer 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
W. Thompson 19 3-7 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
N. Raivio 18 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
K. Knutson 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Stohl 16 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
M. Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter