Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -15 (80-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bauscher | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Larry | 32 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 30 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| A. Thomas | 30 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Nelson | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Greene | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Noonan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Garner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kemp | 35 | 6-18 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| B. Fields | 32 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 30 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| J. McGee | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Johnson | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Ellis | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Burleson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Cooke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter