Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| A. Armstrong | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Ross | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Cloxton | 0 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Oakland | 0 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pollino | 0 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Pryor | 0 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Little | 0 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| J. Singleton | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| J. Chandler | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
* = starter