Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 13 | - |
| B. Richardson | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Slack | 29 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Dyer | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Holloway | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Holtz | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Sampay | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Houston | 39 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Cox | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 28 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Korver | 27 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Hall | 15 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Parker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter