Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -10 (56-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 35 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Gordon | 34 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Varnado | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Bailey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Benock | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hendrix | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 18 | - |
| M. Riley | 35 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Jemison | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Gee | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Pickett | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Hillman | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Torrance | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Knox | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter