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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 40 6-16 2-7 6-10 6 6 0 0 4 20 12 -
T. Blair 31 2-4 0-0 2-6 8 0 0 4 1 6 13 -
S. Spears 30 5-10 0-0 3-6 11 1 0 1 2 13 14 -
R. Sanders 29 3-14 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 -5 -
B. Paris 27 4-8 1-4 0-1 6 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
J. Oates 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
T. Roche 14 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
C. Raji 11 1-3 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 37 7-14 0-3 5-6 2 10 6 0 1 19 22 -
M. Diane 34 6-14 4-10 4-5 5 2 1 0 3 20 11 -
C. Baker 31 5-7 3-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 15 13 -
A. Joseph 27 6-12 1-3 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 17 10 -
R. Pettinella 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Tucker 19 1-7 1-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
J. Jones 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Meyinsse 8 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Scott 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter