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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% -
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +16 (92-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thornton 38 10-21 2-6 5-6 6 2 0 0 5 27 9 -
G. Temple 37 3-6 0-2 4-5 4 3 0 2 3 10 10 -
A. Randolph 37 4-12 0-0 6-6 19 3 0 1 4 14 21 -
T. Martin 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
A. Farrer 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
Q. Thornton 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
G. Green 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Spencer 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 4 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 32 5-10 0-3 0-1 3 9 1 0 0 10 13 -
A. Gordon 31 6-12 4-7 2-2 1 1 3 0 1 18 10 -
S. Foster 31 6-15 4-8 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 18 9 -
R. Neltner 27 6-8 0-0 4-5 5 0 2 1 0 16 16 -
D. McClellan 21 3-3 1-1 1-3 6 2 1 1 0 8 15 -
A.J. Ogilvy 19 2-6 0-0 6-7 3 0 0 0 3 10 4 -
A. Metcalfe 13 2-5 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Walker 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
G. Drake 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Bell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter