Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (59-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 37 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Maren | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Anderson | 31 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Henke | 24 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Holland | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Hood | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| R. Martinez | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Toppert | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Prentice | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Pegues | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Gary | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Wills | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Harris | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter