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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Marshall 35 2-8 0-3 4-5 4 1 0 1 3 8 3 -
M. Stinson 31 8-19 6-13 1-2 6 0 3 0 1 23 12 -
G. Moore 30 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 5 2 0 2 4 5 -
I. Martin 23 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 2 1 4 6 -
C. Holmstrom 20 5-7 3-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 15 15 -
T. McCoy 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 1 2 3 -1 -
A. Carter 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 -2 -
J. Tunnell 13 1-4 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Arnold 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Yelovich 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bahe 24 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 10 9 -
C. Witter 23 4-6 2-3 11-13 1 4 1 0 3 21 18 -
B. Woodfox 22 7-8 6-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 20 10 -
K. Lawson Jr. 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 5 2 8 13 -
D. Watts 20 2-6 0-2 3-3 8 1 0 0 1 7 9 -
P. Stinnett 18 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 6 2 -
J. Dotzler 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 4 0 -
C. Harriman 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 3 -
P. Hibma 14 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
K. Walker II 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
K. Korver 10 1-1 1-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter