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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Freeman 40 8-14 6-11 6-9 5 1 0 0 4 28 16 -
S. Gorney 36 2-5 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 2 4 12 -
C. Tate 33 8-10 0-0 5-11 11 0 0 0 2 21 20 -
J. Kelly 29 2-6 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 6 1 -
J. Peterson 28 0-4 0-1 2-2 3 9 1 0 2 2 9 -
J. Johnson 23 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Looby 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 4 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 37 4-12 1-3 2-2 6 3 2 0 4 11 6 -
D. Sims 33 6-15 5-10 1-2 4 1 2 1 3 18 8 -
J. Shepherd 31 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
Z. Gibson 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 8 8 -
E. Udoh 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 2 1 3 1 -
K. Grady 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
C.J. Lee 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
A. Wright 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
D. Merritt 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
R. Coleman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter