Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.