Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Aaron | 38 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| C. Henry | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Hall | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Florence | 26 | 8-23 | 4-13 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | - |
| B. Mills | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Corley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Walker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Smith | 34 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| G. Blair | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Oliver | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 23 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Lohuis | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Lang | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Diaz | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Hirst | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Bowen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Radford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter