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2008-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Huffman 42 6-15 1-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 15 3 -
M. McAndrew 41 4-11 3-6 4-5 7 2 2 0 3 15 12 -
C. Skrelja 41 1-3 0-0 4-6 7 5 1 0 2 6 14 -
P. Sullivan 27 3-9 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 2 -
M. Mullery 25 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 3 4 3 -
A. Williams 25 1-5 1-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
S. Friske 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
M. MacDonald 11 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 7 2 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 41 5-11 3-6 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 15 5 -
R. Morin 37 11-14 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 1 3 24 15 -
C. Holmes 37 0-6 0-4 2-4 4 4 0 0 4 2 0 -
T. Pinick 30 5-7 0-1 1-1 11 5 2 1 2 11 21 -
N. Holmes 20 0-1 0-1 3-5 4 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
A. Zampier 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
M. Kyle 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 4 2 5 14 -
P. Braswell 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 2 -3 -
A. Greenberg 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Gibson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Nelson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter